Price sits only 0.64% above the 200-SMA, making 639.70 the pivotal line-in-the-sand for the working long bias. RSI at 56.17 shows constructive but not overbought momentum, leaving room to extend, while MACD at 17.59 over its signal at 13.54 confirms a positive momentum crossover. The 50-SMA at 605.73 sitting below the 200-SMA still reflects a recent downtrend, so this is an early-stage recovery attempting to convert the 200-day from resistance into support.
Tuesday Playbook — Top 5 Setups
The day's five highest-conviction setups, ranked by technical inflection, profit-probability, and trade quality — 5 long, 0 short. Trade your plan and manage risk first. Also screened: $SPY, $HPQ, $HIMS, $ALGN, $NVDA, $TXRH.
Inflection64
Probability83
Quality93
META trades at 643.81, holding just above its 200-SMA (639.70) and well above the rising 50-SMA (605.73), placing the stock at a classic reclaim inflection where the long-term trend line is being retested as support.
EntryAccumulate on strength above 644 with confirmation, or on pullbacks into the 640-644 zone that hold the 200-SMA at 639.70.
InvalidationA decisive close below 632 would invalidate the reclaim thesis, signaling the 200-SMA has failed as support and opening a retest of the 50-SMA near 605.73.
TargetsFirst target 665, capturing continuation as momentum extends above the reclaimed 200-SMA → Second target 690, a measured move as the MACD/RSI regime stays constructive
TimeframeSwing (2-6 weeks)
Inflection60
Probability69
Quality85
RDDT is trading at 185.84, holding above both the 50-SMA (172.99) and 200-SMA (181.44) after reclaiming the long-term trend line — an inflection where a shallow pullback into rising moving averages could set up trend continuation, but MACD (4.54 vs signal 6.58) is rolling over, signaling short-term momentum fatigue.
Price sits just 2.43% above the 200-SMA, with the 50-SMA turning up and passing under price — a constructive alignment that reframes the prior downtrend. RSI at 51.43 is neutral, showing neither exhaustion nor thrust, consistent with a consolidation/digestion phase. The MACD bearish crossover (4.54 below signal 6.58) argues for near-term drift toward the 181–183 zone before buyers can confirm. Trade-quality (85) and profit-probability (69) support a long bias, but technical-inflection (59.5) says the setup is still forming rather than triggered.
EntryPreferred accumulation zone 181.50–183.50 (tag of 200-SMA at 181.44 with hold) or breakout trigger on a daily close back above 188.50 with MACD histogram turning up.
InvalidationDaily close below 178.50 — this breaks the 200-SMA reclaim and invalidates the trend-recapture thesis, exposing a retest of the 50-SMA at 172.99.
TargetsFirst target 196.00 — prior swing resistance and measured extension from the 50/200-SMA base → Second target 205.00 — trend-continuation objective if momentum re-expands
TimeframeSwing (2-6 weeks)
Inflection46
Probability83
Quality87
AVGO is consolidating between its rising 200-SMA (364.13) and declining 50-SMA (401.48), sitting 6.14% above the long-term trend while the MACD histogram narrows — a classic pre-inflection coil for a Semiconductors long bias.
Price at 386.50 trades below the 50-SMA (401.48) but well above the 200-SMA (364.13), keeping the primary uptrend intact even as short-term momentum resets. RSI at 49.90 is mid-range and neutral, offering room to expand in either direction without overbought risk. MACD at -3.78 versus signal -4.86 shows a bullish crossover attempt from below zero, signaling waning downside momentum. The 50-SMA at 401.48 is the immediate ceiling that must be reclaimed to confirm the inflection.
EntryAccumulation zone 382–388 on stabilization, with a confirmation trigger on a reclaim of 401.48 (50-SMA) for momentum add-ons.
InvalidationBelow 364.00 (200-SMA); a decisive break would invalidate the long-term uptrend structure and negate the long bias.
TargetsFirst target 401.50 — reclaim of the 50-SMA and prior pivot → Second target 420.00 — measured extension above the 50-SMA into prior supply
TimeframeSwing (2-6 weeks)
Inflection43
Probability83
Quality90
AMZN is coiling just below its 50-SMA at 251.16 while holding a healthy 5.63% cushion above the 200-SMA at 234.35, setting up a classic pullback-to-trend inflection within the MAG7 complex. With MACD (0.80) crossed above signal (-0.34) but RSI still neutral at 51.3, momentum is turning up before price has confirmed — the definition of an inflection point.
Price at 247.55 sits in no-man's land: 1.4% below the 50-SMA resistance shelf at 251.16 and 5.6% above rising 200-SMA support at 234.35. The bullish MACD cross with a 1.14-point spread argues momentum has shifted, yet RSI at 51.3 shows the move is not extended and has room to run before overbought conditions near 70. Trade-quality (89.9) and profit-probability (83.0) scores are strong, but the modest technical-inflection reading (43.2) argues for waiting on confirmation rather than anticipating.
EntryTier 1: 246.00–248.00 on hold of current range; Tier 2 (preferred trigger): reclaim of the 50-SMA at 251.16 on a daily close
InvalidationDaily close below 240.00; a break there voids the MACD-up thesis and opens a full retest of the 200-SMA at 234.35
Targets258.50 — measured move above the 50-SMA reclaim → 266.00 — extension target as RSI approaches overbought
TimeframeSwing (2-6 weeks)
Inflection60
Probability64
Quality89
QCOM is coiling just 2.6% above its rising 200-SMA (169.11) while trading 15.8% below its 50-SMA (206.10), a classic mean-reversion inflection where a long-term trend line meets short-term exhaustion.
Price at 173.50 is testing the 200-SMA (169.11) as primary support, with RSI at 39.88 signaling weakness but not yet oversold, leaving room for a washout or a base. MACD at -8.69 remains below its signal (-7.56) and the histogram is still negative, confirming downside momentum has not fully rolled over. The gap between the 50-SMA and 200-SMA highlights how stretched the pullback is, and a hold of the 200-SMA would set up a reversion trade toward the declining 50-SMA overhead.
EntryStaged entries: initial 172.00-174.00 near current price with confirmation of a 200-SMA hold; add on a reclaim above 178.00 with MACD histogram turning up.
InvalidationDaily close below 166.50 (roughly 1.5% under the 200-SMA); losing this level breaks the long-term trend structure and invalidates the mean-reversion thesis.
TargetsFirst target 188.00 — prior consolidation shelf and midpoint back toward the 50-SMA → Second target 205.00 — retest of the 50-SMA at 206.10
TimeframeSwing (2-6 weeks)
Ranked by technical inflection, profit-probability, and trade quality. Educational only. Not financial advice.