The 50-SMA crossing above the 200-SMA framework combined with price holding the 200-SMA turns that level into first-line support rather than resistance. RSI at 56.80 shows room to run before overbought conditions, and the MACD spread of ~8.2 points confirms positive momentum acceleration off the base. However, the thin 0.86% cushion to the 200-SMA means any downside slip quickly retests trend; a decisive hold here is what differentiates continuation from a failed breakout. Trade-quality (93) and profit-probability (83) scores align with the constructive momentum read, while a mid-range inflection score (63.9) reflects proximity risk to the 200-SMA.
Sunday Playbook — Top 5 Setups
The day's five highest-conviction setups, ranked by technical inflection, profit-probability, and trade quality — 4 long, 0 short. Trade your plan and manage risk first. Also screened: $NVDA, $AMZN, $W, $HIMS, $HPQ, $HOOD.
Inflection64
Probability83
Quality93
META trades at 646.01, sitting just 0.86% above its rising 200-SMA (640.51) and well above the 50-SMA (604.53), positioning the tape at an inflection where a reclaim attempt meets the most-watched trend line. With MACD (19.26) above signal (11.02) and RSI at 56.80, momentum is constructive but not yet stretched.
EntryPreferred accumulation zone 640.51–646.00 (200-SMA reclaim shelf); momentum add-on trigger on a daily close above 655.00 confirming breakout from the inflection band.
InvalidationDaily close below 604.53 (50-SMA) invalidates the long thesis, signaling loss of the intermediate uptrend and a likely transition to range/downtrend behavior.
TargetsFirst target 678.00 — prior swing supply and a ~5% extension from entry → Second target 705.00 — measured move continuation on sustained MACD expansion
TimeframeSwing (2-6 weeks)
Inflection65
Probability83
Quality89
AVGO is coiling between its rising 200-SMA (363.63) support and a well-defined 50-SMA ceiling at 402.94, sitting just 1.98% above the long-term trend line. With MACD (-4.44) crossing above its signal (-5.30) while RSI (43.85) turns up from mid-range, the tape is at an early inflection where a reclaim attempt is being set up but not yet confirmed.
Price at 370.83 holds a slim 1.98% cushion over the 200-SMA (363.63), keeping the primary uptrend structurally intact while the 50-SMA at 402.94 caps rallies and defines the near-term downtrend to break. The MACD bullish cross beneath zero is a classic early-stage momentum shift, and RSI at 43.85 leaves ample room to expand before overbought conditions. The trade-quality score of 89.3 and profit-probability of 83.0 corroborate a constructive setup, but the technical-inflection reading of 64.5 signals confirmation is still pending. A decisive close back above the 380–385 shelf would tilt momentum toward a full retest of the 50-SMA.
EntryTiered accumulation: initial zone 368–372 against 200-SMA support; add-on trigger on a daily close above 385 confirming momentum follow-through.
InvalidationDaily close below 360 (just under the 200-SMA at 363.63). A break there invalidates the long-term trend support and negates the MACD upturn thesis.
TargetsFirst target: 402 — retest of the 50-SMA at 402.94, the primary overhead supply zone. → Second target: 425 — extension objective on a clean reclaim and hold of the 50-SMA.
TimeframeSwing (3-6 weeks)
Inflection71
Probability64
Quality87
ETOR is trading at 35.98, sitting essentially on its 200-SMA (35.92, distance +0.18%) after pulling back from the 50-SMA at 39.29 — a classic long-side inflection where a major trend line meets an oversold reset.
Price is compressed between the 50-SMA overhead (39.29) and the 200-SMA underfoot (35.92), with RSI at 36.58 signaling a near-oversold posture without yet triggering a momentum reversal. MACD at -0.36 versus signal +0.03 confirms momentum is still negative, so the setup requires confirmation rather than anticipation. The 0.18% proximity to the 200-day defines an unusually tight risk boundary, and a reclaim of momentum with price stabilizing above the 200-SMA would mark the inflection. Trade-quality (86.5) and inflection (71.1) scores support constructive positioning if triggers confirm.
EntryStaged entry: initial tranche on a hold and close back above 36.20 with intraday defense of the 200-SMA (35.92); add on a MACD cross back above signal or reclaim of 37.50.
InvalidationDaily close below 35.20 (roughly 2% under the 200-SMA) invalidates the inflection thesis and signals loss of the long-term trend support, flipping bias to neutral/short.
TargetsFirst target 39.29 (50-SMA confluence) — natural mean-reversion cap → Second target 41.80 — extension above the 50-SMA if momentum turns positive
TimeframeSwing (2-6 weeks)
Inflection65
Probability64
Quality90
QCOM is testing its rising 200-day SMA at 169.05 after a sharp pullback from the 50-day at 207.12, creating a classic mean-reversion inflection where the long-term trend line meets an oversold-leaning tape. With price just 1.61% above the 200-SMA and a working long bias, this is the zone where a trend either reasserts or fails.
Price at 171.78 sits deep below the 50-SMA (207.12) but is still holding above the 200-SMA (169.05), signaling a short-term downtrend inside a still-intact longer-term structure. RSI at 38.05 is weak but not yet washed out, leaving room for a base or a final flush. MACD at -8.47 remains below its signal at -6.89, confirming downside momentum has not yet turned, so any long is a counter-trend bet on the 200-SMA holding. The setup earns its trade-quality score of 89.5 from location, not momentum — the reward zone toward 207 is wide, but confirmation is still lacking.
EntryStaged entries: initial tranche 170.00–172.00 near current price with the 200-SMA as reference; add on reclaim of 178.00 with MACD curling toward its signal line
InvalidationDaily close below 166.50 (roughly 1.5% under the 200-SMA at 169.05); losing this level breaks the long-term trend anchor and invalidates the mean-reversion thesis
Targets188.00 — prior consolidation shelf and midpoint back toward the 50-SMA → 206.00–208.00 — retest of the 50-SMA at 207.12
TimeframeSwing (3-6 weeks)
Inflection67
Probability61
Quality86
RDDT is coiling right at its 200-day SMA (181.76) with price at 181.18, a classic inflection where the trend regime is being retested. The Watch bias reflects a mixed technical picture: trade-quality scores high (86.4) but MACD has just crossed below signal, warning of near-term hesitation.
Price sits -0.32% below the 200-SMA (181.76) while holding well above the rising 50-SMA (172.25), keeping the intermediate structure constructive. RSI at 48.48 is neutral, giving room to move in either direction without momentum extremes. MACD at 6.36 has slipped under its signal line at 7.56, a short-term deceleration flag even as absolute momentum remains positive. The 172.25 / 181.76 band frames the decision zone — reclaim the 200-SMA and buyers regain control; lose the 50-SMA and the setup fails.
EntryTrigger long on a decisive reclaim and hold above 182.00 (clearing the 200-SMA at 181.76); alternatively, a pullback entry into the 173.00–175.00 zone near the 50-SMA offers better risk/reward for patient watchers.
InvalidationInvalidation on a close below 171.00 — losing the 50-SMA (172.25) would break the intermediate uptrend structure and shift bias to distribution.
TargetsFirst target 190.00 — recovers prior swing area and offers a logical partial-profit zone. → Second target 198.00–200.00 — extension objective if MACD re-crosses above signal and RSI pushes above 60.
TimeframeSwing (2-6 weeks)
Ranked by technical inflection, profit-probability, and trade quality. Educational only. Not financial advice.