Monday Playbook — Top 5 Setups

The day's five highest-conviction setups, ranked by technical inflection, profit-probability, and trade quality — 4 long, 1 short. Trade your plan and manage risk first. Also screened: $ALGN, $AMZN, $RDDT, $META, $IGV, $SPY.

5 of 5 plays

NVDA is coiling just above its 200-SMA (192.86) while trading below the 50-SMA (208.98), setting up a classic mean-reversion inflection with a bullish MACD cross (0.02 vs -0.09) suggesting momentum is rotating higher from a neutral RSI of 42.96.

Price at 196.51 sits only 1.90% above the rising 200-SMA (192.86), which has acted as the structural floor and is the key line defending the long bias. The MACD has crossed above its signal line while still near zero, indicating a fresh momentum shift before the move is extended, and RSI at 42.96 leaves ample room to expand upward before hitting overbought conditions. The 50-SMA at 208.98 is the immediate overhead magnet and the primary resistance to reclaim, with the gap between price and that level defining the swing opportunity.

NVDA daily chart
EntryPreferred accumulation zone 193.50–197.00 on hold of the 200-SMA (192.86); confirmation add on a reclaim and close above 200.00 with MACD extension.
TargetsFirst target 208.98 (50-SMA reversion / trend resistance). → Second target 215.00–218.00 on a 50-SMA reclaim with RSI push toward 60.
StopDaily close below 190.00 invalidates the setup — it would breach the 200-SMA (192.86) and flip the intermediate structure, negating the bullish MACD cross.

Educational only. Not financial advice.

Monday Playbook — Top 5 Setups — Daily Playbook