Price is holding a stacked bullish structure: spot > 50-SMA > 200-SMA, with a 3.57% cushion to the long-term trend line. The MACD histogram flipping positive from deeply negative territory signals downside momentum has exhausted, while RSI near 55 leaves ample room before overbought (70). The 50-SMA at 345.58 is the pivot to defend; losing it would expose the 337.50 200-SMA as the next demand shelf. Trade-quality (91.2) and profit-probability (98.0) scores reinforce the constructive read, though technical-inflection at 58.1 suggests confirmation, not conviction, is still building.
Sunday Playbook — Top 5 Setups
The day's five highest-conviction setups, ranked by technical inflection, profit-probability, and trade quality — 5 long, 0 short. Trade your plan and manage risk first. Also screened: $AAOI, $META, $COIN, $QQQ, $SHOP, $GLW.
Inflection58
Probability98
Quality91
GOOGL is grinding higher within a MAG7 uptrend, trading at 349.54 above both its rising 50-SMA (345.58) and 200-SMA (337.50). With MACD (-0.32) crossing up through its signal (-1.87) while RSI sits at a neutral-constructive 54.99, the setup is at an early momentum inflection rather than an extended chase.
EntryAccumulate on pullbacks into 345.50–347.50 (50-SMA retest zone); alternatively, add on a momentum trigger above 351.00 on expanding MACD.
InvalidationDaily close below 337.50 (200-SMA). A break there would invalidate the trend structure and flip bias to neutral/short.
TargetsFirst target: 358.00 (recent resistance / ~2.4% extension) → Second target: 365.00–367.00 (measured move from the MACD cross base)
TimeframeSwing (2-6 weeks)
Inflection70
Probability83
Quality87
HIMS is coiling directly on its 200-day SMA (27.98) with price at 27.99, a classic inflection where the long-term trend line either holds as support or gives way. The working long bias is reinforced by a trade-quality score of 86.6 and a MACD (-0.69) crossing fractionally above its signal (-0.70), hinting at momentum stabilization.
Price sits 0.03% from the 200-SMA and roughly 7.3% below the 50-SMA at 30.19, framing a clear range between long-term support and the falling near-term mean. RSI at 45.59 is neutral-to-soft, leaving room to run before overbought conditions, while the MACD's razor-thin cross above signal suggests downside momentum is fading rather than reversing decisively. The 200-SMA acts as the pivot: holding it keeps a mean-reversion path toward the 50-SMA open, losing it flips the structure bearish.
EntryConsider staged entries on confirmation of the 200-SMA hold: initial zone 27.90–28.20, with an add-on trigger on a reclaim of 28.75 that opens the path back to the 50-SMA.
InvalidationA closing break below 27.20 would invalidate the 200-SMA support thesis and signal that the long-term trend line has flipped to resistance, negating the long bias.
TargetsFirst target 30.19 at the 50-SMA, where sellers likely re-engage → Second target 31.50, a measured extension above the 50-SMA if momentum expands
TimeframeSwing (2-6 weeks)
Inflection60
Probability83
Quality85
IREN is trading at 46.68, holding above both its 50-SMA (40.38) and 200-SMA (45.54), with the recent reclaim of the long-term average marking an inflection from base-building to trend-confirmation. With trade-quality at 84.9 and profit-probability at 83.0, the setup favors a measured long bias while price digests just 2.5% above the 200-day.
Price sits 15.6% above the 50-SMA and has crossed back through the 200-SMA at 45.54, a classic reclaim signal. RSI at 59.19 is constructive but not overbought, leaving room before the 70 threshold. MACD at 0.90 above its signal at 0.55 confirms positive momentum expansion. The key structural pivot is 45.54 — sustained trade above it keeps the trend intact, while the 50-SMA at 40.38 defines the deeper support shelf.
EntryPreferred accumulation zone 45.50–46.80 on pullbacks toward the reclaimed 200-SMA; momentum add on a decisive close above 47.50.
InvalidationInvalidation on a daily close below 43.00, which would forfeit the 200-SMA reclaim and neutralize the MACD/RSI regime, opening a retest of the 50-SMA at 40.38.
TargetsFirst target 50.50 (measured extension from the 50-SMA base) → Second target 54.00 (roughly 20% above the 200-SMA, aligned with prior momentum leg)
TimeframeSwing (2-6 weeks)
Inflection69
Probability69
Quality85
BITX at 18.70 sits just above a reclaimed 200-SMA (18.30) with the 50-SMA (14.44) sharply rising underneath, marking a potential trend inflection as price attempts to hold the long-term line by only 2.21%.
The 50-SMA at 14.44 is well below the 200-SMA at 18.30 but curling up aggressively, and price trading above both averages signals early trend repair. RSI at 63.22 confirms momentum leadership without being stretched into overbought territory. However, MACD at 0.83 has crossed below its signal at 1.01, hinting at near-term momentum cooling even as the structural setup improves. The tension between a bullish price/MA structure and softening MACD defines the current inflection.
EntryPrefer staggered entries on a hold of the 200-SMA at 18.30, with adds on a reclaim of 19.00; avoid chasing extension above 19.50 without a pullback.
InvalidationBelow 17.60 on a closing basis; losing that level would break back beneath the 200-SMA and invalidate the trend-repair thesis, reopening the gap toward the 50-SMA at 14.44.
Targets19.90 (recent momentum extension zone) → 21.50 (measured continuation if MACD re-crosses higher)
TimeframeSwing (2-6 weeks)
Inflection67
Probability64
Quality84
ETHU is extended above a rising 50-SMA (20.34) and has just reclaimed the 200-SMA (28.57) by 3.55%, marking a potential trend-regime shift while momentum begins to cool.
Price at 29.59 sits well above the 50-SMA (20.34) and just north of the 200-SMA (28.57), a bullish stacking that confirms trend recovery. RSI at 67.65 is strong but nearing overbought, signaling limited near-term upside without a pause. MACD at 1.92 has crossed below its signal at 2.13, a first hint of momentum deceleration even as price holds up. The 200-SMA at 28.57 becomes the pivotal shelf: holding it validates the long thesis; losing it flips the bias.
EntryPreferred entry on a pullback into 28.57–29.00 (200-SMA retest); alternative breakout trigger on a reclaim of 30.00+ with MACD re-crossing above signal.
InvalidationDaily close below 27.80 invalidates the 200-SMA reclaim and signals the breakout has failed back into the prior range.
TargetsFirst target 32.50 (measured extension from the 200-SMA reclaim) → Second target 35.00 (trend-continuation objective if momentum re-accelerates)
TimeframeSwing (2-6 weeks)
Ranked by technical inflection, profit-probability, and trade quality. Educational only. Not financial advice.